Why Is the College-Completion Rate Stagnating?

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The passage highlights several critical issues facing American colleges and universities today, particularly regarding college completion rates, enrollment trends, and the broader challenges within higher education:

  1. Stagnant College Completion Rates: The National Student Clearinghouse Research Center data shows that college completion rates have stagnated around 62.2% for students starting in fall 2017. This trend reflects little improvement over previous cohorts, indicating persistent challenges in ensuring students successfully finish their degrees within a reasonable timeframe.
  2. Gender Disparities in Completion: There is a notable gender gap in college completion rates, with 65.6% of women graduating compared to only 58.4% of men. This gap has widened over the years, raising concerns about factors influencing male student success in higher education.
  3. Challenges for Traditional and Older Students: Traditional students (under 20 years old) and older students (24 years and up) face different completion rate challenges. Older students have shown slight gains, reaching 52% completion, while traditional students have seen a dip to 63.8%.
  4. Declining Enrollment Rates: Enrollment rates have declined by an average of 1.6% from 2011 to 2021. Factors contributing to this decline include the perceived cost-value ratio of higher education, impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic, and evolving societal perceptions of college benefits.
  5. Financial and Political Considerations: Rising student debt levels, coupled with concerns about the political climate on campuses, are influencing decisions about pursuing higher education. There is a call for colleges to refocus on educational quality and career outcomes rather than political ideologies or simply increasing enrollment numbers.
  6. Challenges to Institutional Survival: Colleges and universities are framed as businesses that must adapt to survive. This includes either enhancing educational quality and student outcomes or potentially lowering enrollment standards to maintain tuition revenue, which is seen as a less sustainable approach.
  7. Policy Implications: The author suggests that policymakers should take heed of the NSCRC data to steer higher education policy towards improving completion rates and addressing broader issues affecting college affordability and value.

In summary, the passage underscores the complex landscape of challenges facing American higher education institutions, from stagnant completion rates and enrollment declines to financial pressures and ideological shifts. It calls for a reevaluation of priorities and policies to ensure colleges and universities remain viable and effective in meeting the educational needs of students in the future.

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